England vs Italy: Prediction and Preview

● The Opta supercomputer predicts an England win in this game against Italy, with a 58.9% chance of that happening.

● England have won their last 12 European Championship qualifiers at home with an aggregate score of 47-4.

● Italy haven’t lost an away European Championship qualifier since September 2006, and are currently on a 22-game unbeaten run in such matches.

● Following their 2-1 win in March, England are looking for consecutive wins over Italy for only the second time, also achieving that with wins in 1948 and 1949.

● Italy are unbeaten in their last five away matches against England (W2 D3) since a 2-0 defeat in a World Cup qualifier in 1977.

● England have won their last 12 home European Championship qualifiers by an aggregate score of 47-4.

● A player has scored a hat-trick in four of their last six on home soil – Raheem Sterling versus Czechia (March 2019), Harry Kane against Bulgaria (September 2019) and Montenegro (November 2019) and Bukayo Saka versus North Macedonia (June 2023).